Population

It is essential to understand population size and characteristics in order to effectively plan and deliver services such as education, transport and healthcare. This section displays the latest population estimates and projections for Warwickshire.

Population estimates are produced using a variety of data sources and statistical models, including some statistical disclosure control methods, and small estimates should not be taken to refer to particular individuals. The estimated resident population of an area includes all those people who usually live there, regardless of nationality. Arriving international migrants are included in the usually resident population if they remain in the UK for at least a year. Emigrants are excluded if they remain outside the UK for at least a year. Armed forces stationed outside of the UK are excluded. Students are taken to be usually resident at their term time address.

Population estimates for all persons by broad age group for 2019

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
Persons aged 0 - 15	105,537	18.3	1,167,844	19.7	10,816,679	19.2
Persons aged 16 - 64	352,123	60.9	3,660,831	61.7	35,116,566	62.4
Persons aged 65+	120,273	20.8	1,105,362	18.6	10,353,716	18.4

Population estimates for all persons by 5-year age group for 2019

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
0 - 4	31,870	5.5	354,654	6	3,299,637	5.9
5 - 9	34,051	5.9	379,675	6.4	3,538,206	6.3
10 - 14	33,308	5.8	364,716	6.2	3,354,246	6
15 - 19	30,405	5.3	340,757	5.7	3,090,232	5.5
20 - 24	33,700	5.8	389,362	6.6	3,487,863	6.2
25 - 29	36,315	6.3	410,813	6.9	3,801,409	6.8
30 - 34	34,257	5.9	388,068	6.5	3,807,954	6.8
35 - 39	35,096	6.1	371,950	6.3	3,733,642	6.6
40 - 44	33,758	5.8	338,281	5.7	3,414,297	6.1
45 - 49	39,460	6.8	384,020	6.5	3,715,812	6.6
50 - 54	42,219	7.3	406,034	6.8	3,907,461	6.9
55 - 59	39,882	6.9	379,301	6.4	3,670,651	6.5
60 - 64	33,339	5.8	321,044	5.4	3,111,835	5.5
65 - 69	31,123	5.4	295,540	5	2,796,740	5
70 - 74	32,626	5.7	291,095	4.9	2,779,326	4.9
75 - 79	23,525	4.1	215,704	3.6	1,940,686	3.5
80 - 84	16,903	2.9	156,494	2.6	1,439,913	2.6
85+	16,096	2.8	146,529	2.5	1,397,051	2.5

Population by nationality - UK and non-UK

	Warwickshire	West Midlands	England
UK nationals	501,000	89.8	5,293,000	90.6	50,040,000	89.9
Non-UK nationals	57,000	10.2	552,000	9.4	5,587,000	10

Population by nationality (excluding UK)

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
European Union	41,000	7.3	315,000	5.4	3,323,000	6
Non-EU European	2,000	0.4	16,000	0.3	203,000	0.4
Middle and East Central Asian	N/A	N/A	24,000	0.4	189,000	0.3
East Asian	N/A	N/A	17,000	0.3	142,000	0.3
South Asian	9,000	1.6	101,000	1.7	684,000	1.2
South East Asian	N/A	N/A	9,000	0.2	154,000	0.3
Sub Saharan African	2,000	0.4	38,000	0.7	396,000	0.7
North African	N/A	N/A	9,000	0.2	55,000	0.1
North American	2,000	0.4	8,000	0.1	164,000	0.3
Central and South American	N/A	N/A	9,000	0.2	160,000	0.3
Oceanian	N/A	N/A	6,000	0.1	118,000	0.2
Rest of the World	5,000	0.9	70,000	1.2	892,000	1.6

Population by country of birth - UK and non-UK

	Warwickshire	West Midlands	England
UK	486,000	87.1	5,030,000	86.1	46,977,000	84.4
Non-UK	73,000	13.1	815,000	13.9	8,648,000	15.5

Population by country of birth (excluding UK)

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
European Union	42,000	7.5	294,000	5	3,214,000	5.8
Non-EU European	2,000	0.4	22,000	0.4	354,000	0.6
Middle and East Central Asia	N/A	N/A	45,000	0.8	380,000	0.7
East Asia	2,000	0.4	26,000	0.4	292,000	0.5
South Asia	15,000	2.7	236,000	4	1,776,000	3.2
South East Asia	1,000	0.2	19,000	0.3	329,000	0.6
Sub Saharan Africa	5,000	0.9	102,000	1.7	1,240,000	2.2
North Africa	N/A	N/A	10,000	0.2	127,000	0.2
North America	2,000	0.4	16,000	0.3	267,000	0.5
Central and South America	2,000	0.4	38,000	0.7	463,000	0.8
Oceania	1,000	0.2	7,000	0.1	207,000	0.4
Rest of the World	10,000	1.8	173,000	3	2,303,000	4.1

The projections below take population estimates as their starting point. The projected local authority populations for each year are calculated by ageing on the population from the previous year, applying local fertility and mortality rates to calculate the number of projected births and deaths, and then adjusting for migration into and out of each local authority. Fertility, mortality and migration assumptions are derived using values estimated using data from the five years before the base projection year, and do not take into account any known policy or demographic changes.

Population projections for all persons by year

	Warwickshire	West Midlands	England
2018	563,000	5,880,200	55,997,700
2019	565,200	5,914,300	56,357,500
2020	567,600	5,947,300	56,704,700
2021	570,000	5,978,800	57,030,500
2026	581,300	6,125,200	58,505,600
2031	591,900	6,258,700	59,789,800
2036	602,000	6,378,300	60,905,500
2041	612,200	6,494,000	61,952,100

Population projections for all persons by broad age group for 2041

	Warwickshire	West Midlands	England
0 - 15	103,647	16.9	1,199,466	18.5	10,838,105	17.5
16 - 64	345,209	56.4	3,778,141	58.2	36,120,420	58.3
65 +	163,385	26.7	1,516,438	23.4	14,993,591	24.2

Projections for all persons by 5-year age group for 2041

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
0 - 4	31,400	5.1	374,500	5.8	3,379,500	5.5
5 - 9	32,000	5.2	372,100	5.7	3,351,400	5.4
10 - 14	33,300	5.4	376,400	5.8	3,410,900	5.5
15 - 19	32,400	5.3	386,600	6	3,531,100	5.7
20 - 24	32,300	5.3	406,800	6.3	3,705,700	6
25 - 29	35,900	5.9	421,200	6.5	3,944,800	6.4
30 - 34	36,200	5.9	409,400	6.3	3,904,900	6.3
35 - 39	33,600	5.5	367,300	5.7	3,485,700	5.6
40 - 44	35,400	5.8	372,300	5.7	3,530,600	5.7
45 - 49	38,300	6.3	393,700	6.1	3,755,100	6.1
50 - 54	38,500	6.3	393,000	6.1	3,841,800	6.2
55 - 59	35,900	5.9	367,100	5.7	3,685,400	5.9
60 - 64	33,700	5.5	337,200	5.2	3,431,800	5.5
65 - 69	33,900	5.5	330,100	5.1	3,306,300	5.3
70 - 74	36,300	5.9	350,700	5.4	3,434,300	5.5
75 - 79	34,200	5.6	318,100	4.9	3,137,100	5.1
80 - 84	26,000	4.2	236,700	3.6	2,356,300	3.8
85 - 89	17,700	2.9	157,300	2.4	1,540,400	2.5
90 +	15,300	2.5	123,500	1.9	1,219,200	2

Broad ethnicity groups

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
Asian/Asian British	25,096	4.6	604,435	10.8	4,143,403	7.8
Black/African/Caribbean/Black British	4,443	0.8	182,125	3.3	1,846,614	3.5
Minority Ethnic - Total	62,867	11.5	1,167,514	20.8	10,733,220	20.2
Mixed/multiple ethnic groups	7,949	1.5	131,714	2.4	1,192,879	2.3
Other ethnic group	2,298	0.4	49,904	0.9	548,418	1
White	505,688	92.7	4,633,669	82.7	45,281,142	85.4

Detailed ethnicity groups

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
Asian/Asian British: Bangladeshi	284	0.1	52,477	0.9	436,514	0.8
Asian/Asian British: Chinese	2,349	0.4	31,274	0.6	379,503	0.7
Asian/Asian British: Indian	16,435	3	218,439	3.9	1,395,702	2.6
Asian/Asian British: Other Asian	4,300	0.8	74,997	1.3	819,402	1.5
Asian/Asian British: Pakistani	1,728	0.3	227,248	4.1	1,112,282	2.1
Black/African/Caribbean/Black British: African	2,173	0.4	64,253	1.1	977,741	1.8
Black/African/Caribbean/Black British: Caribbean	1,733	0.3	86,794	1.5	591,016	1.1
Black/African/Caribbean/Black British: Other Black	537	0.1	31,078	0.6	277,857	0.5
Mixed/multiple ethnic groups: White and Asian	2,606	0.5	32,561	0.6	332,708	0.6
Mixed/multiple ethnic groups: White and Black African	698	0.1	9,232	0.2	161,550	0.3
Mixed/multiple ethnic groups: White and Black Caribbean	3,090	0.6	68,533	1.2	415,616	0.8
Mixed/multiple ethnic groups: Other Mixed	1,555	0.3	21,388	0.4	283,005	0.5
Other ethnic group: Arab	467	0.1	18,079	0.3	220,985	0.4
Other ethnic group: Any other ethnic group	1,831	0.3	31,825	0.6	327,433	0.6
White: English/Welsh/Scottish/Northern Irish/British	482,607	88.5	4,434,333	79.2	42,279,236	79.8
White: Gypsy or Irish Traveller	494	0.1	4,734	0.1	54,895	0.1
White: Irish	5,216	1	55,216	1	517,001	1
White: Other White	17,371	3.2	139,386	2.5	2,430,010	4.6

Household composition breakdown

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
One family only: All aged 65 and over	22,143	9.6	196,969	8.6	1,789,465	8.1
One family only: Cohabiting couple	22,988	10	220,109	9.6	2,172,438	9.8
One family only: Cohabiting couple: All children non-dependent	1,003	0.4	11,684	0.5	108,486	0.5
One family only: Cohabiting couple: Dependent children	9,166	4	98,453	4.3	890,780	4
One family only: Cohabiting couple: No children	12,819	5.5	109,972	4.8	1,173,172	5.3
One family only: Lone parent	21,052	9.1	258,746	11.3	2,339,824	10.6
One family only: Lone parent: All children non-dependent	7,015	3	86,064	3.8	766,569	3.5
One family only: Lone parent: Dependent children	14,037	6.1	172,682	7.5	1,573,255	7.1
One family only: Married or same-sex civil partnership couple	83,641	36.2	773,535	33.7	7,329,455	33.2
One family only: Married or same-sex civil partnership couple: All children non-dependent	14,106	6.1	143,155	6.2	1,234,355	5.6
One family only: Married or same-sex civil partnership couple: Dependent children	37,109	16.1	353,267	15.4	3,375,890	15.3
One family only: Married or same-sex civil partnership couple: No children	32,426	14	277,113	12.1	2,719,210	12.3
One person household: Aged 65 and over	29,209	12.6	289,571	12.6	2,725,596	12.4
One person household: Other	37,845	16.4	388,677	16.9	3,940,897	17.9
Other household types: All aged 65 and over	639	0.3	6,379	0.3	61,715	0.3
Other household types: All full-time students	1,039	0.4	11,397	0.5	124,285	0.6
Other household types: Other	7,788	3.4	81,833	3.6	995,677	4.5
Other household types: With dependent children	4,661	2	67,693	2.9	584,016	2.6

Main language breakdown

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
English (English or Welsh if in Wales)	503,796	95.7	5,001,880	92.8	46,936,780	92
Welsh/Cymraeg (in England only)	86	0	1,265	0	8,248	0
Other UK language	31	0	282	0	4,637	0
French	716	0.1	7,266	0.1	145,026	0.3
Portuguese	951	0.2	4,491	0.1	131,002	0.3
Spanish	583	0.1	3,210	0.1	118,554	0.2
Other European language (EU)	9,164	1.7	85,478	1.6	1,155,972	2.3
Other European language (EU): Any other European language (EU)	14	0	116	0	2,878	0
Other European language (non EU)	163	0	2,795	0.1	64,985	0.1
Other European language (non-national)	0	0	44	0	4,600	0
Russian	392	0.1	4,322	0.1	66,271	0.1
Turkish	291	0.1	2,214	0	98,083	0.2
Arabic	260	0	12,217	0.2	152,490	0.3
West/Central Asian language	338	0.1	22,165	0.4	181,424	0.4
South Asian language	7,058	1.3	185,287	3.4	1,281,168	2.5
East Asian language	2,154	0.4	29,337	0.5	374,013	0.7
Oceanic/Australian language	10	0	149	0	1,729	0
North/South American language	5	0	59	0	1,022	0
Caribbean Creole	1	0	79	0	506	0
African language	479	0.1	21,773	0.4	240,572	0.5
Other languages	49	0	1,254	0	17,675	0
Sign language	160	0	2,447	0	20,853	0

Marital and civil partnership status breakdown

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
Divorced or formerly in a same-sex civil partnership which is now legally dissolved	40,801	9.1	393,163	8.7	3,857,137	9
In a registered same-sex civil partnership	732	0.2	7,242	0.2	100,288	0.2
Married	225,821	50.5	2,141,698	47.5	20,029,369	46.6
Separated (but still legally married or still legally in a same-sex civil partnership)	10,643	2.4	117,396	2.6	1,141,196	2.7
Single (never married or never registered a same-sex civil partnership)	136,687	30.6	1,517,613	33.7	14,889,928	34.6
Widowed or surviving partner from a same-sex civil partnership	32,391	7.2	330,293	7.3	2,971,702	6.9

Religion breakdown

	Count	%	Count	%	Count	%
	Warwickshire		West Midlands		England
Buddhist	1,733	0.3	16,649	0.3	238,626	0.5
Christian	351,891	64.5	3,373,450	60.2	31,479,876	59.4
Hindu	5,699	1	72,247	1.3	806,199	1.5
Jewish	505	0.1	4,621	0.1	261,282	0.5
Muslim	5,820	1.1	376,152	6.7	2,660,116	5
Sikh	9,434	1.7	133,681	2.4	420,196	0.8
Other religion	2,008	0.4	25,654	0.5	227,825	0.4
No religion	131,408	24.1	1,230,910	22	13,114,232	24.7

Warwickshire - Population - UTLA

Warwickshire - Population - UTLA - Warwickshire